PreCA Series Present President Muhammadu Buhari of the APC.
PreCA (Presidential Candidates Analysis) Series Present President Muhammadu Buhari of the APC.
Buhari's second term will be a consolidation of his present Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP). His acquired hands-on capacity to manage public institutions with no tolerance for corruption and decades of public service experience has presented him as a very good candidate to lead the continuous fight against corruption, which he is proposing.
General Buhari is well known around the globe for his Buharism ideology. His emergence for the second term will be welcomed globally and will arouse widespread jubilation among the teeming believers of his age-long ideology, but will face even stiffer opposition from his ideological rivals across the nation. Except the ones in his party, his antagonism for the elites remain alive and such feeling has always been well reciprocated, which often earn him continuous hostility from the elite-controlled media. Although Buhari is quite popular among the middle class, his major support base has always been from the lower class who find his anti-elitist ideals to be very appealing.
Buhari's passion for the job is not as fierce as it used to be. He has however continued to voice his resentments for corruption and mismanagement while still maintaining good relationships with corrupt public officials within his party. Even though Buhari remains committed to national reforms, the simplicity of his vision for the country doesn't seem to measure up the enormous aspirations of 21st century young people. His efforts in the past three years focused mainly on empowering the lower class and few struggling middle classes, while remaining slightly indifference towards the economic hardship experienced by most upper and working class. Buhari has so far continued to base his reelection campaigns on social investment programs, agriculture and infrastructure development.
Buhari's record in public service are as good as that of his running mate. Professor Osinbajo with wealth of experiences in lecturing, law practice, international development as well as public service has in the past three years displayed very strong capacity to manage public office diligently. As keenly observed, Buhari lacks the capacity to effectively organize his cabinet into a strong united functioning unit, he also couldn’t establish cordial relationship with the National Assembly to get support for his policies; all these added to his continuous struggle with creating effective communication/feedback channels with the people, remain the major shortcomings of his potential administration. A Buhari presidency will maintain good relationship with international community and enjoy good local support.
The continuation of the Buhari regime will work towards achieving agriculture development and more social investments. These set of efforts are not likely to ensure any rapid economic growth or address quickly, the deficits in access to basic amenities. Also, his presidency will at the cost of retained debt profile, continue to pursue mega infrastructures as signatory projects; these kinds of projects will tilt attention towards populated cities and away from the rural areas. Buhari’s anti-corruption fight will continue at its present pace and the administration's hostile relationship with the press is not likely to improve. There aren’t any indications of major reforms in either national security setups or national education system, so the current struggle with insecurity may linger on and the nation’s human development indices won’t record much improvement.
These analyses and projections were done by considering the available data, and do not explicitly present all the facts about President Buhari. We will however welcome responses and contributions from readers, all of which will enhance the accuracy of the PreCA series.
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